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Programme

Day One - October 14 2008

CHAIRMAN'S WELCOME ADDRESS
Alex Kirby, Managing Director, Insight Media

KEYNOTE ADDRESS
State of the Industry Address
Tony Davis, CEO, Tiger Airways

SECTION 1
CAPACITY, NETWORK & FLEET PLANNING IN A HIGH ENERGY COST ENVIRONMENT

Chairman's opening remarks
Alex Kirby, Managing Director, Insight Media

How High Energy Costs are Impacting the Aircraft Market and Fleet Investment Landscape
• Record oil price levels are forcing many of the world’s airlines to radically rethink and downsize their operations, schedules and fleet plans
• The impact of high energy costs on manufacturers’ orderbook and delivery positions for wide and narrow-body aircraft
• Quantifying the impact of high energy costs on financing and operating lease requirements for the next 10 years
• Other macro-economic factors that could well affect the commercial aircraft market and investment landscape during the next 10 years

A Financier and Lessor View of The Aircraft Market and Fleet Investment Landscape Today
• How the financial community views the aviation sector’s prospects
• How will the turmoil in the financial markets and economic slowdown impact the new and used markets?
• The appetite of the leading financial institutions to finance airline fleet orders and sale and leaseback transactions
• Identifying the types of finance currently available and the appetite for sale and leaseback transactions
Mark Hackforth-Jones, Aviation Finance Consultant, Doric Asset Finance

Understanding the Importance of the Second Hand Aircraft Finance and Leasing Market
• How do lease values relate to capital values compared with new or nearly new aircraft?
• Who are the providers of finance in this niche marketplace?
• How the economics of old low capital cost, high variable cost aircraft compare with new high capital cost, low variable cost aircraft and what are the sectors in which the older aircraft are economically viable?
• The impact of high fuel prices on older aircraft values and retirement dates
• How Chapters 4 and 5 will impact the marketplace
Malcolm Holt, Chairman, Cabot Aviation*

Finance Versus Fleet Planning – Where Airlines’ and Financiers’ Aircraft Selection Preferences Agree and Differ
• When should or shouldn’t an airline decide to become a launch customer?
• Adopting orphans: When should an airline acquire an aircraft model that closely fits the needs of its network and when should it acquire a less suitable but more widely operated type that is
likely to demonstrate better resale value performance?
• Should an airline try to customise its specification or stay with a generic specification when ordering aircraft?
• Should an airline ever specify a low-selling aircraft-engine combination?
• Assessing the effect of the rate of aircraft production on aircraft resale values B737-8 versus A320
Alex Kirby, Managing Director, Insight Media
Mark Hackforth-Jones, Aviation Finance Consultant, Doric Asset Finance
Malcolm Holt, Chairman, Cabot Aviation

SECTION 2
THE ESSENTIALS OF MODERN FLEET-PLANNING
Presentations followed by a Panel Discussion
Moderator David Beckerman, Vice President, Analytical Services, OAG Aviation Solutions

CASE STUDY

The Essential Ingredients For Succesful Network And Fleet Planning For Todays Low-Cost Airlines
John Jamotta, Head of Network Planning, Southwest Airlines

Establishing and Prioritising the Key Determinants of Network and Fleet Planning
A fully-comprehensive approach to fleet-planning is essential and needs to factor in the following:
• Strategic considerations
• Product consideration and suitability to specific requirements (eg climatic, product-driven, etc.)
• Fleet commonality issues
• Aircraft performance issues – both payload-range and field-performance
• Operating economics
• Financing considerations
• Asset management considerations (residual value development and likely after-markets)
• Flexibility and multi-mission capability
• Environmental considerations
• Market situation and availability
John Strickland, Director, JLS Consulting

END OF DAY ONE

Day Two - October 15 2008

CHAIRMAN
Alex Kirby, Managing Director, Insight Media

SECTION 3
STRATEGIC PLANNING ISSUES
Presentations followed by a Panel Discussion
Moderator Sai Arigala, Delivery Manager for Airline Planning, Asia/Pacific region,
Sabre Airline Solutions

What the Airlines and Leasing Companies Require from the New Generation of Aircraft
• A380 and B747-8, including Cargo and Freighter Versions
• A350 and B787 Dreamliner
• MHI MRJ, Sukhoi SuperJet, Embraer E-Jets, Bombardier C-Series
• Very Light Jets - Cessna Citation Mustang, Embraer Phenom 100, Eclipse 500, HondaJet
John H McKean, SVP, Head of Airline Marketing, Aviation Capital Group
John Bloemen, VP Marketing Asia Pacific, BOC Aviation
Frederic Morais, Marketing Manager, Bombardier Commercial Aircraft
John Jamotta, Head of Network Planning, Southwest Airlines

The Link Between Network Planning and Fleet Planning
• Which comes first – the network plan of the fleet plan?
• Network planning strategies
• The role of constraints
• Network scenario development, selection and optimization
• Strategic fleet planning
Sai Arigala, Delivery Manager for Airline Planning, Asia/Pacific region,
Sabre Airline Solutions

The Impact of Short-Term Fleet Assignment on Long-Term Fleet Planning
• What is close-in re-fleeting?
• Integrating schedule-oriented roles/process for optimum results
• Data requirements
• Implementation process
• Case study
Sai Arigala, Delivery Manager for Airline Planning, Asia/Pacific region,
Sabre Airline Solutions

CASE STUDY

Environmental and Commercial Impacts: Will Mega-Hub or Point-to-Point Airline Networks and Fleet Plans Prevail?
• Will the mega hub-and-spoke network be more environmentally acceptable and commercially compelling in future than the point-to-point network? Does this dynamic change for intercontinental, regional international and domestic operations?
• What will be the fleet planning and investing implications of the dominant network shape?
• Are there any other likely impacts of environmental considerations on future network and fleet planning?
• Given the above considerations, will large aircraft such as the A380 and B747-8I or medium-to-large widebody twins such as the B787 and A350 XWB prove more environmentally acceptable and commercially viable?
Marc Cezanne, Business Development for Malpensa (Milan), Deutsche Lufthansa

SECTION 4:
ALTERNATIVE BUSINESS MODELS FOR THE FUTURE
Thinking Differently: Novel Airline Network and Fleet Solutions
vivaAeroBus’ plan to launch low-cost transborder services with its fleet of B737-300 aircraft to attract travellers in US markets with a substantial Hispanic presence as well as price-conscious consumers in Mexico
Sarosh Bhatti, General Manager Marketing, airblue
Air Arabia*

The Evolution of the Regional Aircraft Market and its Impact on Fleet Planning and Investment
• To what extent are major airlines now using larger regional jets such as the Embraer 170-195 series and Bombardier CRJ700- CRJ900 series to operate mainline services?
• Will major airlines prefer to operate larger regional aircraft themselves or to have a regional subsidiary or franchised carriers operate them?
• Are larger regional jets and/or turboprops suitable for the low-cost airline business model?
• Will airlines be likely to exploit the capacity and performance capabilities of larger regional aircraft by finding entirely new network uses for them?
• Are larger regional aircraft likely to prove more or less attractive to financiers and lessors than smaller regional aircraft?
• Does the advent of the large regional aircraft herald the end of the 50-seat-and-smaller regional aircraft?
Chia Wang, Sales Director, Bombardier Commercial Aircraft
Wilson Nishida, Director Business Development, Embraer Asia Pacific
Fabrice Godeau, Director Regional Market Development, Asia Pacific, PowerJet

CHAIRMAN'S CLOSING REMARKS

END OF CONFERENCE

* Speaker Invited

	Sponsorship Contact
	Alex Kirby Managing Director E-mail: alex@airportconference.com Direct line: +44 (0) 208 831 7502

	For Conference Programme & Registration Enquiries Contact
	Emma Dean Conference & Event Executive E-mail: emma@airportconference.com Direct line: +44 (0) 208 831 7505